Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.011638 0.014156 0.017339 0.021764 0.027932 0.036521 0.049972
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008115 0.010671 0.014306 0.020138 0.029890 0.046995 0.083725
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006438 0.008869 0.012586 0.019135 0.031596 0.057820 0.133182
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005525 0.007894 0.011733 0.019054 0.034688 0.074006 0.231952
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004971 0.007336 0.011371 0.019656 0.039488 0.100021 0.478784
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004477 0.006772 0.010850 0.019734 0.043171 0.128871 1.038116
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003979 0.006118 0.010022 0.018882 0.043936 0.149324 2.054845
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003624 0.005661 0.009483 0.018521 0.046011 0.181527 5.847960
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003451 0.005506 0.009503 0.019506 0.053286 0.267476 170.843024
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003349 0.005467 0.009749 0.021168 0.064828 0.456253 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003251 0.005419 0.009963 0.022846 0.078774 0.849084 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003061 0.005163 0.009667 0.022918 0.085298 1.280301 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002830 0.004830 0.009202 0.022533 0.090640 2.030236 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002554 0.004378 0.008397 0.020823 0.086424 2.329078 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002346 0.004045 0.007832 0.019773 0.085859 3.117020 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002209 0.003848 0.007566 0.019688 0.092505 6.358379 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002118 0.003738 0.007501 0.020318 0.106573 28.390397 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002014 0.003588 0.007308 0.020401 0.116766 279.662692 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001883 0.003367 0.006902 0.019509 0.115927 2892.004180 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001783 0.003208 0.006638 0.019130 0.120665 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001741 0.003172 0.006699 0.020161 0.146228 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001720 0.003183 0.006894 0.021903 0.192213 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001697 0.003185 0.007064 0.023664 0.254915 NaN NaN